Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 1114.153902 1271.572682 1449.241492 1665.799142 1924.217928 2224.688861 2603.385611
2025-05-18 901.757701 1111.367121 1372.257043 1725.895126 2200.690041 2827.859203 3739.316558
2025-05-25 786.518264 1015.752343 1318.882707 1758.717660 2397.355111 3318.786231 4803.741289
2025-06-01 695.585915 931.574271 1258.863221 1760.518589 2537.675759 3746.596739 5881.559514
2025-06-08 624.618919 861.843704 1204.087000 1753.525667 2653.679477 4150.491557 7025.079804
2025-06-15 579.476881 821.748918 1184.284507 1792.264799 2843.375165 4709.887368 8613.638882
2025-06-22 520.397088 753.253377 1111.440177 1732.538895 2852.285716 4947.431271 9646.667593
2025-06-29 472.608668 696.680912 1049.973989 1681.431448 2864.603816 5189.618380 10767.023406
2025-07-06 430.158206 644.194640 988.992078 1621.903469 2849.247969 5370.587791 11808.463125
2025-07-13 414.838420 633.699115 995.970738 1683.996606 3079.003893 6117.955427 14563.760721
2025-07-20 394.283278 612.432754 981.917926 1704.412110 3227.153582 6721.559888 17215.364699
2025-07-27 377.458028 595.820597 974.008333 1734.998181 3401.913040 7434.515265 20565.204440
2025-08-03 358.953152 575.588152 959.084114 1752.978728 3560.709596 8177.139155 24551.316752
2025-08-10 348.317930 568.398697 967.660687 1821.211667 3853.393768 9383.562738 31149.681973
2025-08-17 334.500562 554.101920 960.998421 1855.604647 4071.244553 10457.381873 38171.009321
2025-08-24 318.292064 534.012399 940.987321 1857.647898 4207.488261 11336.113948 45185.443125
2025-08-31 302.562903 513.544378 918.192830 1850.151675 4317.287110 12174.769511 52932.073231
2025-09-07 293.032706 504.048356 916.542769 1891.580232 4572.652416 13626.287977 66063.715134
2025-09-14 274.379405 475.601985 873.306118 1827.718684 4511.415197 13897.205665 72096.239323
2025-09-21 258.101334 450.749329 835.625866 1773.101785 4468.240874 14231.551032 79174.643434
2025-09-28 242.316097 425.910563 796.111458 1709.520407 4386.662564 14390.295851 85288.432209
2025-10-05 238.539797 424.716194 807.189478 1775.842436 4729.544289 16504.188610 112218.897784
2025-10-12 231.372312 416.159390 801.417454 1797.657178 4934.213281 18123.392582 138822.282895